Emerging Structure of Indian
Economy
Implications of Growing
Intersectoral Imbalances T.S. Papola
In this Presidential Address, the
author has examined the implications
of the unique nature of the
structural changes, experienced by
India over the past two decades or
so and has raised some analytical
questions in regard to the
‘sustainability of the ongoing
pattern of growth from the viewpoint
of macroeconomic balance and
stability, balance of trade,
employment and income distribution’.
Assessing the Allocation of Aid Developmental Concerns and the
Self-Interest of Donors
Gustavo Canavire, Peter Nunnenkamp,
Rainer Thiele and Luis Triveńo
In this article, we perform a Tobit
analysis of aid allocations,
covering the period 1999-2002 and
account for both altruistic and
selfish donor motives. We first
compare the allocative behaviour of
all bilateral donors taken together
with that of multilateral aid
agencies, and then look at nine
major bilateral donors individually.
It turns out that poorer countries
get clearly more aid from both
bilateral and multilateral donors,
with the possible exception of
France and Japan. Most bilateral
donors and the multilateral agencies
are also found to direct
significantly more aid to
well-governed recipients if
governance is measured by the World
Bank’s CPIA (Country Policy and
Institutional Assessment). If the
CPIA is replaced by the Kaufmann
index, however, the policy
orientation of aid becomes extremely
weak. In contrast to a recent paper
by Dollar and Levin (2004), our
estimates do neither suggest that
multilateral aid is more poverty and
policy oriented than bilateral aid,
nor that IDA performs particularly
well within the group of
multilateral donors. Post-conflict
resolution, the third altruistic
motive considered in the article,
emerges as a significant determinant
of aid allocations in 2002. The
importance of selfish aid motives
clearly differs between bilateral
and multilateral donors. We find no
evidence that donor countries were
able to push through their
individual trade and political
interests at the multilateral level.
By contrast, the export-related
selfinterest of DAC countries
provided a fairly strong incentive
to grant bilateral aid, as did
colonial ties.
Growing Regional Disparities in
Development in India
Post-Reform Experience and
Challenges Ahead C.H. Hanumantha Rao
The interstate disparities in the
gross state domestic product, (GSDP)
have been increasing, in particular,
in the post-economic reform period.
These disparities have been largely
contributed by the large
variabilities in the contributions
made by the secondary and tertiary
sectors. For reducing interstate
disparities, there is an urgent need
for enhancing the levels of public
investment for improving the social
and economic infrastructure in the
backward regions. There is also the
urgency of speeding up social
transformation through the
empowerment of the common people and
adoption of measures for good
governance. Both the Finance
Commission and the Planning
Commission have the responsibility
of rising to the challenges of
increasing disparities and adopting
suitable corrective measures.
The author is Chairman, Centre for
Economic and Social Studies,
Hyderabad.
Email:
cesshyd@hd1.vsnl.net.in
ARTICLES / 4
Patent Systems as Regulatory
Institutions Graham Dutfield
National patent systems and the
international patent rules have
evolved in ways that favour
transnational corporations and other
firms that claim to need patents in
order to innovate. The possibility
that at least some of the rule
changes have been made at the
expense of less powerful actors
including consumers and developing
countries makes it timely to ask
such questions as: Why were the
changes made in the first place? Why
have most attempts to reverse them
failed? Has the patent system always
been vulnerable to regulatory
capture? And is it necessarily the
case that if there are winners there
must always be losers? This article
adopts a case study approach to
argue that the search for plausible
answers should begin by treating
patent systems for analytical
purposes as economic institutions
whose evolution cannot in most cases
adequately be explained in terms of
the objective, well-informed and
public spirited calculus of judges
and policy makers. In doing so, it
also suggests that the patent system
itself has been fundamentally shaped
from a very early stage by interest
group pressure. On the other hand,
such interest group pressure may not
be decisive in determining outcomes,
and may not even be present in all
cases. Indeed, even in the apparent
absence of commercial interest group
pressure, institutionalism can
probably explain most if not all of
the reforms made. Finally, while a
reform may substantially benefit one
interest group and have considerable
implications for the interests of
many other people, patent regulation
should not be perceived as a
zero-sum game.
The author is Professor, Queen Mary,
University of London, Centre for
Commercial Law Studies, London.
Email:
g.m.dutfield@qmul.ac.uk
ARTICLES / 5
Changing Competitiveness of
Japanese Firms
and Role of Japan’s FDI Shigeki Tejima
The origin of Japanese firms’
international competitiveness is in
the system of minimising ‘the sum of
production costs and transaction
costs’ in the procurements of
‘specialty’ parts. Japan’s location
advantages are indispensable factors
for Japanese firms to achieve the
cost minimisation. Furthermore,
existence of global demand for
‘specialty’ products has strongly
supported the ownership advantages
of Japanese automobile industry.
However, recent ‘ICT revolution’ has
caused accelerated ‘commoditisation’
of ‘specialty’ products, especially,
in ICT and electronics industries.
This ‘commoditisation’ undermined
Japanese firms’ competitiveness in
ICT and electronics industries.
Japanese firms in the industries
have to concentrate more on
development of new products, instead
of effective production. The
Japanese electronics and ICT firms
are facing several dilemmas, which
need to be resolved.
Financial Liberalisation:
Implications for
Sustainable and Equitable Growth D.M. Nachane
The generic term ‘financial
liberalisation’ may refer to
liberalisation of cross border flow
of funds, financial deregulation and
financial innovation. This article
focuses on domestic
liberalisation and critically
examines the implications of the
so-called McKinnon-Shaw thesis (M-S
Thesis). It is recognised that
financial liberalisation process has
undoubtedly conferred many tangible
advantages on the economy. However,
it is argued that there is need for
adopting a cautious approach to the
pace and sequencing of reforms by
taking note of the possible negative
features, which, if ignored, could
pose serious instability issues
before the nation.
The author is Senior Professor,
Indira Gandhi Institute of
Development (IGIDR), Mumbai. Email:
nachane@igidr.ac.in
ARTICLES / 7
Infrastructure Availability,
Foreign
Direct Investment Inflows and Their
Export-Orientation: A Cross-Country
Exploration Nagesh Kumar
This article analyses the role of
infrastructure availability in
determining the attractiveness of
countries for FDI inflows and for
export-orientation of MNE
production. We posit that
investments by governments in
providing efficient physical
infrastructural facilities improve
the investment climate for FDI. MNEs
may be particularly sensitive to
infrastructure availability for
locating their investments designed
to feed the global, regional or home
country markets. First, a single
composite index of infrastructure
availability is constructed
capturing availability of transport
infrastructure, telecommunications
infrastructure, information
infrastructure, energy availability
for 66 countries over the 1982-1994
period, using the principal
component analysis. The role of
infrastructure index in explaining
the attractiveness for foreign
production by MNEs is evaluated in
the framework of an extended model
of foreign production. The
estimations corroborate that
infrastructure availability does
contribute to the relative
attractiveness of a country towards
FDI by MNEs, holding other factors
constant. Furthermore, the
export-orientation of production of
MNE affiliates, especially when the
production is meant for third
country markets, is significantly
related to infrastructure
availability. Therefore, MNEs’
decision making pertaining to
location of product mandates for
global or regional markets sourcing
is significantly influenced from
infrastructure availability
considerations. These findings
suggest that infrastructure
development should become an
integral part of the strategy to
attract FDI inflows in general, and
export-oriented production from MNEs
in particular.
The author is Director General,
Research and Information System for
Developing Countries (RIS), New
Delhi. E-mail:
nkumar@ris.org.in
ARTICLES / 8
Cost Efficiency and Commercial
Bank Lending:
Some Empirical Results Biswajit Chatterjee and Ram
Pratap Sinha
The lending environment in the
Indian commercial banking industry
changed considerably in the reform
years following widening of priority
sector definition, dismantling of
Credit Authorisation Scheme and
introduction of risk-based
supervision. In this context, the
present article attempts to compare
the performances of commercial banks
in the reform period in respect of
lending (in a cost minimisation
framework) making use of Data
Envelopment Analysis-a
non-parametric method which is quite
suitable for making
inter-(productive) unit comparison.
The results of the cost minimising
DEA show that mean cost efficiency
of the observed commercial banks
declined in 2002-03 significantly
i.e. the banks have diverged from
the best practice cost frontier.
Further, the observed private sector
commercial banks exhibited higher
mean cost efficiency than the
observed public sector commercial
banks. The public sector commercial
banks lagged behind the private
sector commercial banks both in
respect of technical efficiency and
allocative efficiency. The result
may be the outcome of lending
aversion behaviour by the public
sector commercial banks in the
current legal and regulatory
environment which one the one hand,
penalises the commercial banks
heavily for low asset quality but at
the same time provides little
facility for the recovery of dues
from the defaulting borrowers within
a reasonable time limit.
Biswajit Chatterjee is Professor of
Economics and Dean Faculty of Arts,
Jadavpur University, Kolkata. Email:
chatterjeeb@vsnl.net
Ram Pratap Sinha is Assistant
Professor of Economics (Selection
Grade), A.B.N. Seal (Govt) College,
Cooch Behar. Email:
rp1153@rediffmail.com
COMMUNICATIONS FOR DEBATE AND
RESEARCH / 1
Making
Economic Sense of Indian Science
R.A. Mashelkar
The author is Director General,
Council of Scientific & Industrial
Research, New Delhi. Email:
DGCSIR@CSIR.RES.IN
COMMUNICATIONS FOR DEBATE AND
RESEARCH / 2
A Note on Estimating Tax
Elasticities
Pronab Sen
The most popular technique for
estimating tax elasticities is the
‘Proportional Adjustment’ method.
This article shows that the standard
methodology used will almost
invariably lead to biased elasticity
estimates, and proposes an
alternative methodology which avoids
this problem.
The author is Principal Adviser
(Perspective Planning), Planning
Commission, Government of India, New
Delhi. Email:
pronab@nic.in
BOOK REVIEW
The Future of India: Musings of
Bimal Jalan
(Viking by Penguin Books India,
2005, Price Rs350/-, pp. 212)
Reviewed by Dr.V.R. Panchamukhi,
Former Chairman,
Indian Council of Social Science
Research New Delhi.Email:
vadirajp36@yahoo.com